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Asan North Korea Conference 2013

Expert
Go Myong-Hyun
Hit
174
Date
13-09-29 15:00
  • 프린트 아이콘
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On September 25-26, 2013, the Asan Institute for Policy Studies hosted the Asan North Korea Conference 2013.



The conference, which started with the keynote speech by the Minister of Unification, Ryoo Kihl-jae, included 37 North Korea experts from South Korea, the United States, China, Japan, Russia, and Germany, who discussed and analyzed North Korea's nuclear capability, the state of the regime and the economy, and long term scenarios, in addition to other relevant topics. Notable participants included Bruce Bennett from RAND Corporation, Scott Snyder from Council on Foreign Relations, Joshua Pollack from SAIC, and Noboru Yamaguchi from Japan's National Defense Academy.



Major highlights of the conference included Joshua Pollack's presentation, which showed proofs of indigenous production of key components for nuclear weapons production. Li Bin from Tsinghua University predicted that North Korea is likely to conduct its fourth nuclear test in order to further finesse the design and miniaturization of nuclear warheads. Bruce Bennett outlined the scenarios for the possible collapse of the North Korean regime, which would be precipitated by the power struggle within the leadership.



Overall, the North Korea experts at the conference agreed that the increasing importance of the market in the North Korean economy raised the odds of the regime's eventual transformation. Along the same vein Nicholas Eberstadt from AEI presented his research which showed that even with limited policy reforms that did not threaten the regime, North Korea would able to achieve a considerable level of economic development.



The conference was covered by 116 journalists from 61 media outlets, and was attended by more than 400 guests, including a number of diplomatic representatives.

Go Myong-Hyun

Senior Fellow

Dr. GO Myong-Hyun is a senior research fellow at the Asan Institute for Policy Studies. Previously, Dr. Go was a postdoctoral researcher at the University of California, Los Angeles, Neuropsychiatry Institute. His research applies quantitative perspectives to traditional and non-traditional security issues, with special focus on North Korea, sanctions enforcement, and security and strategic dimensions of technology. Dr. Go’s latest publications include “Not Under Pressure: How Pressure Leaked of North Korea Sanctions” (2020) and “The Rise of Phantom Traders: Russian Oil Exports to North Korea” (2018). Dr. Go received a B.A. in Economics and an M.A. in Statistics from Columbia University in the City of New York, and the Ph.D. in policy analysis from the Pardee RAND Graduate School in Santa Monica, California. He was a Munich Young Leader of the Munich Security Conference 2015, and is currently a member of the Advisory Committee of the ROK Ministry of National Defense, a Senior Adjunct Fellow at the Center for a New American Security (CNAS), and an Associate Fellow at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI).

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